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A succession of successes in betting

From a statistical point of view, each successive result is independent of the previous one.

It turns out that the researchers found such clear evidence in favor of the existence of the succession of victories at first glance, surprising and inexplicable from a scientific point of view.

However, scientists went further and in the following experiment focused on how the results of the previous bet affect the coefficient of the next.

At the initial stage the average level of the selected quotes for all "experimental" bettors was about 7.70. But already after the first bet significant variations were observed.

Thus, the winners tended to choose lower betting odds, the average value of which decreased to 3,60.

The tendency to choose less risky odds was maintained with further winnings. At the same time, the opposite trend was found in the situation with losses. Those who lost one or more times in a row tended to choose riskier odds in the hope of getting even. After six consecutive winning bets, the players' average odds dropped to 0.85, while for players with six consecutive losses it rose to 17.07.

Thus, this experiment showed that the degree of belief in the "gambler's false conclusion" determined the players' luck. Winners were worried that luck would let them down, and chose more reliable odds. Trying to avoid risks, they thereby increased their chances of success. Meanwhile, the losing players chose riskier odds in the hope that they would be able to win back a big win, and as a result, they increased their own chances of losing.


But the main question that will arise when reading this article, of course, is whether the profitability of series wins exceeds the cumulative winnings from non-series wins. Comparing the performance of players who had at least one series of six consecutive wins to those who did not have such series, the margins of players who did not win consecutively were higher than those who did, and the average loss rate for both was almost the same.

The conclusion is simple: if you have a series of wins or losses, do not dwell on either one - just bet according to your chosen strategy. Do not try to "repel" losses quickly, making risky bets with high odds, and do not let you have a "vertigo of success", even in the case of a series of big winnings. And one more factor that is very important in winning is choosing the right online casino or the right bookmaker's office where you can get a bonus 4rabet-game.com/promocode

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